Is Donald Trump’s Return Changing How Africa Thinks About America?

The return of Donald Trump to the American presidency in January 2025 has been watched across Africa with a mixture of wariness, recalibration, and, in some quarters, a pragmatic shrug. The first Trump administration produced a set of Africa-related moments — including the widely reported “shithole countries” remark — that crystallised longstanding concerns about how African nations are perceived in Washington. The second term has, so far, produced a different but related set of signals.

USAID funding cuts and the broader rollback of American foreign assistance have had concrete consequences for health programmes across sub-Saharan Africa. PEPFAR — the President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief, one of the most consequential American investments on the continent — has faced uncertainty that has disrupted treatment programmes serving millions of people. African health ministries that built structural dependencies on American funding are confronting, abruptly, the cost of that dependence.

At the diplomatic level, the Trump administration’s transactional approach to international relationships creates both risks and, for some African governments, tactical opportunities. Leaders who have been pressured by previous administrations on governance or human rights issues may find reduced external pressure under a White House less interested in democracy promotion. The trade-off is reduced predictability and a potential vacuum that other powers — China, Russia, Gulf states — are positioned to fill.

What is perhaps most significant about this moment is the recalibration it is forcing at the strategic level. The assumption that American global engagement represents a stable backdrop against which African policy can be planned is no longer available in the way it was. For African foreign ministries, this is uncomfortable. It is also clarifying.

— Worldwide Observer Politics Desk

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